THE TAPE
Weekly Digest

How the week Felt

Aug 24 – Aug 28, 2026

This was a week where the Fed took the wheel back from earnings season. NVDA delivered a clean beat-and-raise with Huang defusing the circular-financing and open-model bear cases, and memory scarcity got validated up and down the chain, but none of it could produce a durable rally once Warsh's hawkish Jackson Hole speech and Schmid's 'stubborn inflation' commentary torched September rate-cut hopes and sent hike odds to 60%. Gold, bitcoin, and momentum names bled out Friday while chip tariff headlines (AVGO, AMD) and a baffling Marvell post-beat selloff reinforced a market itching to take profits after a monster 2026 run. Biotech and financials-heavy 'shared favorites' baskets kept quietly grinding higher as the hedge trade of choice. Overall mood: fundamentals are fine, but macro (Fed hawkishness, tariffs, Iran) is back in the driver's seat and the tape is tired.

Day by Day
Monday — 2026-08-24
Trump escalated Canada auto tariffs to 50% and Bessent launched sweeping 'Economic Outcast' sanctions on Iran.
Tuesday — 2026-08-25
Hot Fed/bond debate simmered while options markets braced for a 6-7% NVDA earnings swing.
Wednesday — 2026-08-26
Hotter-than-expected core PCE (3.3%) hit ahead of NVDA earnings, fading rate-cut hopes.
Thursday — 2026-08-27
NVDA beat-and-raise sent shares up 6% premarket as Huang defused circular-financing and open-model bear theses.
Friday — 2026-08-28
Warsh's hawkish Jackson Hole speech spiked September hike odds to 60%, tanking gold and bitcoin.
Beyond the Markets