THE TAPE
Weekly Digest

How the week Felt

Sep 28 – Oct 02, 2026

This week felt like a tug-of-war between relief and unease — the weak jobs print and cooling PCE data fed a dovish pivot that sent Nasdaq to record highs, but underneath the cheer was real wage erosion and stubborn inflation that kept the rally feeling fragile rather than triumphant. Oil was the other live wire, swinging from Iran-strike panic near $108 to sharp relief as the G7 confirmed a massive coordinated reserve release. Fed speak was everywhere but directionless — officials split between 'inflation still too high' and 'no reason to hike again' — leaving traders to lean on AI capex conviction (Broadcom, TSM, Micron, Samsung HBM) as the market's real anchor. By Friday the mood was cautiously euphoric: stocks at highs, oil breaking down, but stagflation whispers lingering just beneath the surface.

Day by Day
Monday — 2026-09-28
Oil spiked on Iran tensions (Hormuz rejection) while chip stocks wobbled on an AI safety scare.
Tuesday — 2026-09-29
A parade of Fed officials (Williams, Musalem) stressed data-dependence while oil pulled back on easing Saudi supply fears.
Wednesday — 2026-09-30
Cooler PCE inflation data boosted tech stocks as markets awaited high-stakes Micron earnings.
Thursday — 2026-10-01
Micron's strong results failed to impress as rising 10-year yields spooked the S&P 500. 🟢 BUY SOXL @ $146.87 (New position (2 shares) — 20/50 MA crossover + strong bullish sentiment (0.53))
Friday — 2026-10-02
A weak jobs report and G7's 100M-barrel oil release sent Nasdaq to record highs despite real-wage concerns.
Beyond the Markets